Control measures are working

31 March 2020 (Reposted 1st April as due to human error — mine — this didn’t make it into the newsletter.) On 30 March 2020, researchers at Imperial College published a paper, discussed in this article, assessing the effectiveness of control measures put in place in 11 European countries. The model uses the now-familiar method

Daily growth rates as another way to track progress

A simpler way to see where we’re making progress, with clear progress in Europe but less so in the US. And a deep dive into the state-level data in the US.

Why I’m worried about the US

28 March 2020 The US, and in particularly the New York City area (my home town, where part of my family and many friends live), are showing the potential to be the worst-impacted locations in the world. What do the data say about where the US is now and what’s likely to happen in the